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Romania real estate market still attractive

By: Claudia Ariton | Date: 2008-04-15

Although the cost of construction is up, the yield for offices is down, and the average price per sqm for transactions went up six times in the last five years, the Romanian real estate market is still a top destination in terms of profitability. The ongoing maturing of the market, and the diversification of the supply after EU integration contributes to good competition in Romania, while countries like Serbia or the Ukraine, although unstable politically and economically, are cheaper, and are gaining ground for developers and investment funds.

"More opportunistic actors, such as investment funds, are looking into markets like Serbia and the Ukraine to get certain investment margins according to some preset parameters. Romania has become too expensive for them. However, other investors, in less aggressive funds, are still interested in Romania. The main problems with these funds with high financial power, such as German open funds, facing them now are that they have not completed an analysis of the Romanian market in terms of taxes or legislative, or have to follow certain parameters that make them buy high quality buildings, which are more advantageous at this time in Western or Central Europe, because they offer a more stable product, with lower country risk", explained for BBW Troy Javaher, business development director for capital markets with Jones Lang LaSalle.

On the same topic, Attilla Peli, land division director with Colliers International, emphasized that "this problem has been around for some time. True, some markets may be more profitable at this point than the Romanian market, but profit has to be associated with risk, so the analysis can be wrong. More than that, the demand on the Romanian market seems not to be met, and if capital is reoriented to other markets, the discrepancy between supply and demand could deepen, which would drive prices up, meaning profits would go up too, and capital could return to the market in a short time". Adrian Emanuel Nicolescu, corporate accounts real estate broker and business development manager, Euroest, believes that "a part of investors went to Serbia and the Ukraine before coming to Romania, others, with a wider vision, after getting very good profits in Romania, went to other emerging markets, as a strategic move to take advantage of possibilities for growth, without slowing or stopping the development they started in this market".

He said that, according to calculations, the price per sqm in Bucharest is around 1,500 Euro, having grown five times in the last five years. Peli said that the price per square meter in 2007 was around 615 Euro. "There are no clear statistics for five years ago - there weren't that many transactions, most were done in the good areas - but the price back then was probably around 100 Euro/ sqm, or even less", he said. Prices went up last year too, "for central areas proper for residential and office developments, prices went up 15 to 20% from 2006, said Silvia Stanescu, who works in the research department of Atisreal Romania. As a result, prices for luxury locations such as Kiseleff and Primaverii now fluctuate between 3,300 and 4,000 Euro/ sqm.

Even with falling yields and rising construction prices, Romania is still attractive. "The principle of supply and demand still applies - the demand for office space, for instance, is still higher than the supply, which means developers still want to build office buildings. Clear proof of this is the rise in rent lately. Yields will stabilize", said Peli. Nicolescu said that "for the residential sector, the demand is very high, and investors will still be interested as late as 2010. for the commercial sector, at the half of 2009, after scheduled deliveries, the total mall and retail space will be over 50% higher than the consumption of retail clients. For offices it is expected that the market will stabilize by the end of 2009, when supply and demand will balance out". Experts are optimistic about the market's attractiveness.

They expect supplies to grow and diversify. Silvia Stanescu, with Atisreal, said that after it reaches maturity, the Romanian real estate market will have macroeconomic stability, with growing purchasing power in the residential sector, and sustainability in the retail segment. Aris Tsouros, general manager, Epsilon Imobiliare, has good expectations from the market: "The Romanian real estate industry will continue to grow, and there are several causes. Macroeconomic indicators show a GDP growth of 7%, while salaries will fall in line with economic growth. The level of consumption will continue to attract significant foreign investment, which will also drive real estate development. Romania has had good growth in the last 5 years, and will continue to do so for at least another three.

There will also be a shift of focus from Bucharest to other large cities, such as Brasov, Cluj, Craiova, and Sibiu, which had good growth in 2007, like Bucharest before them, and they will offer great value to investors.". Javaher also expressed the conviction that this market, by its position and the level of demand, has advantages that investors cannot afford to overlook: "I am still very optimistic about the Romanian market.

The truth is - and this cannot be stressed enough - that the foundations are still strong. It has not drastically changed in the last few months. The demand is strong and growing, and the sector has the necessary workforce. In addition, Romania cannot be ignored: it is a regional hub". Nicolescu said the workforce is of good quality and talent: "Why did Ford and Nokia decided to invest here - and we all know the obstacles they had to face? The potential of the country is huge, and investors only have to bring in know how and finances. There are a lot of Romanian professionals that are as good as foreign ones, and all we have to do is keep them here. Let us not forget, now we are full members of the EU".

Source: www.bbw.ro


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