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Ελληνικές τράπεζες με... «ξένα» δάνεια

 Περισσότερα δάνεια στο εξωτερικό απ’ ό,τι στην Ελλάδα θα χορηγήσουν το 2008 οι τράπεζες. Το νέο έτος οι δραστηριότητες στο εξωτερικό θα πάρουν τη σκυτάλη στον αναπτυξιακό αγώνα δρόμου των τραπεζών, συνεισφέροντας με περισσότερες νέες εργασίες σε σχέση με την εγχώρια αγορά.

«Η Ελλάδα ασφαλώς παραμένει η κύρια αγορά μας», σημειώνει στέλεχος τράπεζας «και τα συνολικά υπόλοιπα δανείων είναι σημαντικά υψηλότερα από τα δάνεια στις χώρες της περιοχής, ωστόσο σε ό,τι αφορά τις νέες εκταμιεύσεις δανείων από εδώ και πέρα ο όγκος των εργασιών μας στο εξωτερικό θα είναι μεγαλύτερος απ’ ό,τι στην Ελλάδα, τάση που συνεχώς θα ενισχύεται».

Είναι χαρακτηριστικό ότι στο τρίτο τρίμηνο, η EFG Eurobank παρουσίασε αύξηση χορηγήσεων 1,34 δισ. ευρώ στην εγχώρια αγορά και 1,2 δισ. ευρώ στις έξι χώρες της Νοτιοανατολικής Ευρώπης όπου δραστηριοποιείται. Δηλαδή, τα δάνεια στο εξωτερικό αντιστοιχούν στο 90% των δανείων που δόθηκαν στην Ελλάδα.

Σύμφωνα με στελέχη της τράπεζας, η τάση αυτή μήνα με το μήνα ενισχύεται και το τέταρτο τρίμηνο η αύξηση των υπολοίπων των δανείων στο εξωτερικό θα είναι ανάλογη ή και λίγο υψηλότερη της αύξησης των δανείων στην Ελλάδα. Το 2008, οι χορηγήσεις δανείων της Eurobank στο εξωτερικό θα είναι κατά πολύ υψηλότερες των χορηγήσεων στην Ελλάδα σε αναλογία που μπορεί να φτάσει το 2 προς 1.

Οι εγχώριες τράπεζες διαθέτουν σήμερα περίπου 4.000 καταστήματα στο εξωτερικό και επιχειρούν σε μια μεγάλη γεωγραφική περιοχή που οριοθετείται βόρεια από τη Ρωσία, ανατολικά από την Τουρκία και Νότια από την Αίγυπτο, περιλαμβάνοντας δεκάδες χώρες με συνολικό πληθυσμό 450 εκατ. κατοίκους, δηλαδή πολλαπλάσιο του εγχώριου πληθυσμού.

Με 1.055 καταστήματα

Μόνο η Εθνική διαθέτει δίκτυο 1.055 καταστημάτων στο εξωτερικό (εκ των οποίων τα 412 στην Τουρκία) και είναι χαρακτηριστικό ότι τα υπόλοιπα δανείων εμφανίζουν στο εννεάμηνο αύξηση κατά 6 δισ. ευρώ στην Ελλάδα και κατά 5 δισ. ευρώ στο εξωτερικό, ενώ στο τρίτο και τέταρτο τρίμηνο οι νέες εργασίες στο εξωτερικό έχουν «πιάσει» αυτές στην Ελλάδα.

Η Alpha Bank, η οποία στις αρχές Ιανουαρίου θα προχωρήσει στην αναθεώρηση του επιχειρησιακού της σχεδίου, αποτέλεσμα της δυναμικής ανάπτυξης στο εξωτερικό, εμφανίζει στο εννεάμηνο αύξηση χορηγήσεων 76,4% στο εξωτερικό έναντι αύξησης 17,8% στα υπόλοιπα δανείων στην εγχώρια αγορά. Το δίκτυο της Alpha Bank στο εξωτερικό ξεπερνά πλέον τα 400 σημεία.

Ο όμιλος Πειραιώς δημιούργησε ή απέκτησε μέσω εξαγορών 183 νέα καταστήματα και πλέον αριθμεί τα 381 σημεία, ενώ οι χορηγήσεις του ομίλου στο εννεάμηνο διπλασιάστηκαν και ανήλθαν στα 5,2 δισ. ευρώ. Η επέκταση του ομίλου στην Ουκρανία διευρύνει εντυπωσιακά τις επιχειρηματικές δυνατότητές του καθώς η αγορά της Ουκρανίας είναι μία από τις μεγαλύτερες και τις ταχύτερα αναπτυσσόμενες της περιοχής.

Περί κερδοφορίας

Η μεγάλη αύξηση των εργασιών στο εξωτερικό, πέραν του ότι συμβάλλει αποφασιστικά στη διατήρηση των ισχυρών -και εντυπωσιακών σε πανευρωπαϊκό επίπεδο- ρυθμών ανάπτυξης του κλάδου, δίνουν μεγάλη ώθηση στην κερδοφορία. Ο λόγος είναι τα υψηλά επιτοκιακά περιθώρια των νέων αγορών. Είναι χαρακτηριστικό ότι παρά την ένταση του ανταγωνισμού στην εγχώρια αγορά, το καθαρό επιτοκιακό περιθώριο της Εθνικής Τράπεζας στο εννεάμηνο ανήλθε στο 4,24% που αποτελεί νέο ιστορικό υψηλό για τον όμιλο. Για το ρεκόρ αυτό καθοριστική είναι η συμβολή των εργασιών στο εξωτερικό καθώς το επιτοκιακό περιθώριο των θυγατρικών του Ομίλου στη ΝΑ Ευρώπη ανήλθε στο εντυπωσιακό 5,27%!

Μαθήματα οικονομικής διπλωματίας

Η εντυπωσιακή και ιδιαίτερα αποτελεσματική παρουσία των ελληνικών τραπεζών στην ευρύτερη περιοχή των Βαλκανίων έρχεται να υπογραμμίσει το χάσμα αποτελεσματικότητας που υπάρχει μεταξύ ιδιωτικού τομέα και δημόσιας διοίκησης. Για παράδειγμα, η Εθνική Τράπεζα ελέγχει τη μεγαλύτερη τράπεζα της ΠΓΔΜ, το μερίδιο αγορά της οποίας ξεπερνά το εντυπωσιακό 40% δίχως να αντιμετωπίζει το παραμικρό πρόβλημα. Η Εθνική είναι ένας από τους μεγαλύτερους εργοδότες της γειτονικής χώρας, και περίπου το 50% των κατοίκων της χώρας δανείζονται ή καταθέτουν τα χρήματά τους στη θυγατρική της Εθνικής. Εντυπωσιακή είναι η διείσδυση της Εθνικής και στην Τουρκία, παρά τα μεγάλα πολιτικά προβλήματα μεταξύ των δύο χωρών.

Η EFG Eurobank και η Alpha Bank διακρίνονται για την ισχυρότατη παρουσία τους στη Ρουμανία και τη Σερβία, ενώ η Eurobank έχει επεκτείνει την παρουσία της μέχρι την Πολωνία και την Ουκρανία! Την εξαγορά ουκρανικής τράπεζας πέτυχε και η Πειραιώς, η οποία μάλιστα εξετάζει και την εξαγορά δεύτερης τράπεζας στη χώρα, ενώ ατού του ομίλου είναι η ισχυρή παρουσία στην Αίγυπτο.

Και ενώ οι τράπεζες αθόρυβα και αποτελεσματικά, δίχως την παραμικρή κρατική αρωγή όλα αυτά τα χρόνια, έχουν πραγματοποιήσει με επιτυχία ένα πολύ δύσκολο έργο, η δημόσια διοίκηση όχι μόνο δεν έχει πραγματοποιήσει ανάλογα βήματα, αλλά αδυνατεί ακόμα και να αξιοποιήσει τα πλεονεκτήματα της οικονομικής δύναμης που έχει αποκτήσει ο τραπεζικός αλλά και πολλοί άλλοι επιχειρηματικοί κλάδοι.



Source: Καθημερινή, 15 Δεκεμβρίου 2007 Του Γιαννη Παπαδογιαννη jpapadogiannis@kathimerini.gr


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